Cornuck wrote: ↑Tue Nov 18, 2025 4:09 pm
but we deep down know that Chytil and Demko were not going to survive the season. I'm not sure many of us thought it would be this early.
Honestly, I thought there was a shot that, with a carefully managed load, Demko could play enough to help.
(This would be analogous to going ahead and replacing the water pump, just to have the fuel pump go a few months later.)
And there have been occasions -- relatively rare, I admit -- where players who had a concussion history finally bit the bullet and took enough time off to actually heal up all the way, and then don't get concussed every time they are bumped, anymore. I thought Chytil might have done that.
donlever wrote: ↑Tue Nov 18, 2025 3:44 pm
I do not see the 2nd 3rd round success others predict however.
It might be a question of interpretation, but I didn't see that response as predicting 2nd round success. I thought it meant that they could win 1 round, and thereby make the 2nd round.
There's no way to be certain how alternate histories might have unfolded, but if all of the IFs had come up favourably, I still think that would have been possible.
But in retrospect, it was foolish to predict that as a probable outcome. If all of the IFs really were 50/50, and Don listed 5 (I think there were actually more) then (0.5)^5 = 0.03125, or a 1 in 32 chance of winning one round.
The Canucks don't have a monopoly on bad luck, though. It's a fast, poorly-officiated, contact-intensive league, and a couple of the teams ahead of them could suffer injuries that are, by the end of the season, just as deleterious, or worse. Not that I'm hoping for that.