US Erection 12 *AND* 16 *AND* 20 *AND* 22 *AND* 24 *AND* Beyond

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Re: US Erection 12 *AND* 16

Post by Per »

5thhorseman wrote:
Topper wrote:The more I think about yesterday's election, the more I realize, democracy was the biggest winner.
I'm not a Trump supporter, but all these people venting on FB, are missing the point. Do they honestly believe that 47% of the electorate are racist, sexist, xenophobic idiots? To think this way is dismissive of the real reasons that people voted this way.
I think Michael Moore nails it. A lot of people voted for Trump as a big fuckoff to Washington.
Sort of like voting a goon into the Allstar game.
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Re: US Erection 12 *AND* 16

Post by Topper »

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Re: US Erection 12 *AND* 16

Post by 5thhorseman »

Per wrote:
5thhorseman wrote:
Topper wrote:The more I think about yesterday's election, the more I realize, democracy was the biggest winner.
I'm not a Trump supporter, but all these people venting on FB, are missing the point. Do they honestly believe that 47% of the electorate are racist, sexist, xenophobic idiots? To think this way is dismissive of the real reasons that people voted this way.
I think Michael Moore nails it. A lot of people voted for Trump as a big fuckoff to Washington.
Sort of like voting a goon into the Allstar game.
Yeah, but why are they so pissed off about Washington? In this election?
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Re: US Erection 12 *AND* 16

Post by Per »

5thhorseman wrote:
Per wrote:
5thhorseman wrote:
Topper wrote:The more I think about yesterday's election, the more I realize, democracy was the biggest winner.
I'm not a Trump supporter, but all these people venting on FB, are missing the point. Do they honestly believe that 47% of the electorate are racist, sexist, xenophobic idiots? To think this way is dismissive of the real reasons that people voted this way.
I think Michael Moore nails it. A lot of people voted for Trump as a big fuckoff to Washington.
Sort of like voting a goon into the Allstar game.
Yeah, but why are they so pissed off about Washington? In this election?
You tell me. From where I'm sitting (Sweden), I can only speculate.

Trump's core supporters are rural white men without a college degree. The redneck vote.
In the end he also got a narrow majority among white men with a college degree, but less than Republican candidates usually get.
Hillary got 92% of the black vote, two thirds of the Latino vote and also a majority of the female vote.
She also got a majority of the total vote. In most democracies that would have mad her the winner, but the arcane electoral system used in the US means some votes are worth more than others, and most of her voters were concentrated to the coasts and big cities, whereas Trump's where spread all over the prairie.

So, my guess is that the angry white male that voted for Trump typically feels they have been neglected by Washington for a long time, while all the money and attention is directed towards women and minorities.
They also tend to be less interested in the environment and might not feel thrilled about free college education, as that ship has already sailed for them, and why should their tax money fund someone else's education?

There's also a surge of protectionism. A lot of people think they have lost jobs because of Nafta and other trade agreements, which is bullshit. The US economy has gained from Nafta. Growth is up, exports are up. But of course, with increased competition some companies are bound to be losers. That's part of capitalism. But the bif Picture is that free trade is good for all countries that engage in it. The science and the track record are solid. There is no questioning it. Unfortunately most people who do not umderstand economics think that there is a fixed amount of wealth to go around, and when some one gains, some one else loses. That's wrong. Nafta has been even greater for Mexico and Canada, but as the Mexicans and Canadians have benefitted from trade with the US, they have bought more American goods, which means all three countries are winners. The problem is that the media focuses more on the companies that go belly up than the companies that triple their sales, and so people that don't see the whole picture get the impression that free trade is bad. Either way, free trade bashing was clearly a winning strategy in these elections, and pretty much all candidates engaged in it, but Trump probably the most. Sad really. Protectionsim is like peeing in your boots to keep your feet warm in winter. It feels good for a while, but then you end up having to amputate them.

As a European I cannot understand why so many low income Americans are upset that they now get affordable health care. Sure, the system Obama introduced is not as good as what we have here or that you have in Canada, but Obama specifically chose to stay away from a single payer public Health version as he was hoping this hybrid version, which is more or less the same as what Mitt Romney introduced in Massachusettes, would help gain support across the aisle. Not sure that that worked out as well as he had hoped. Either way, some 30 million Americans that did not have health insurance now do, and to me that seems like a great leap toward finally becoming a civilised society. But obviously a lot of Americans would rather let big pharma, the hospitals and insurance companies continue to scam them.
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Re: US Erection 12 *AND* 16

Post by Topper »

The Electoral College is proportional representation. Trump was leading in popular vote until populous democratic leaning California was counted. California also carries the most electoral college votes.

Have a look at Presidential election maps of the US at County levels. Obama won by mobilizing the inner city vote. Florida didn't go Obama until all the counties around Miami were counted. Ohio didn't go Obama until inner Cleveland came in. Hilary was hanging her hopes on getting a greater share of the vote in and around Detroit so she could carry Michigan and in and around Philadelphia to carry Pennsylvania.

As those regions came in, she never closed the 50,000 to 75,000 vote gap she needed to fill to carry the State and she was done.

Per, you talk about the rural vote mobilizing for Trump, it was the inner city vote that mobilized for Obama but didn't mobilize for Hillary. That inner city vote is the 47% that Mitt spoke of.

http://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2016-37889032

The 2012 map (still looking for a 2016 map). That's a big sea of red.
Image

USA Today nails it with the lower voter turnout in black areas. Obama was elected because of his skin colour, not in spite of his skin colour.

http://www.usatoday.com/pages/interacti ... -unfolded/

In a nutshell, people were not happy with the direction the US has gone the last eight years and were not going to support a continuation of the same.
Last edited by Topper on Thu Nov 10, 2016 7:47 am, edited 5 times in total.
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Re: US Erection 12 *AND* 16

Post by 2Fingers »

Will Trump be the President that promised the most but delivered the least. A lot of his promises will be hard to deliver on.
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Re: US Erection 12 *AND* 16

Post by Topper »

Reefer2 wrote:Will Trump be the President that promised the most but delivered the least. A lot of his promises will be hard to deliver on.
It will be a challenge to top the current President in that regard.
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Re: US Erection 12 *AND* 16

Post by Strangelove »

Topper wrote:
Reefer2 wrote:Will Trump be the President that promised the most but delivered the least. A lot of his promises will be hard to deliver on.
It will be a challenge to top the current President in that regard.
Beat me to it.

Turns out Oblahblah became obsessed with his golf game...

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Re: US Erection 12 *AND* 16

Post by Mickey107 »

Per wrote:
5thhorseman wrote:
Per wrote:
5thhorseman wrote:
Topper wrote:The more I think about yesterday's election, the more I realize, democracy was the biggest winner.
I'm not a Trump supporter, but all these people venting on FB, are missing the point. Do they honestly believe that 47% of the electorate are racist, sexist, xenophobic idiots? To think this way is dismissive of the real reasons that people voted this way.
I think Michael Moore nails it. A lot of people voted for Trump as a big fuckoff to Washington.
Sort of like voting a goon into the Allstar game.
Yeah, but why are they so pissed off about Washington? In this election?
You tell me. From where I'm sitting (Sweden), I can only speculate.

Trump's core supporters are rural white men without a college degree. The redneck vote.
In the end he also got a narrow majority among white men with a college degree, but less than Republican candidates usually get.
Hillary got 92% of the black vote, two thirds of the Latino vote and also a majority of the female vote.
She also got a majority of the total vote. In most democracies that would have mad her the winner, but the arcane electoral system used in the US means some votes are worth more than others, and most of her voters were concentrated to the coasts and big cities, whereas Trump's where spread all over the prairie.

So, my guess is that the angry white male that voted for Trump typically feels they have been neglected by Washington for a long time, while all the money and attention is directed towards women and minorities.
They also tend to be less interested in the environment and might not feel thrilled about free college education, as that ship has already sailed for them, and why should their tax money fund someone else's education?

There's also a surge of protectionism. A lot of people think they have lost jobs because of Nafta and other trade agreements, which is bullshit. The US economy has gained from Nafta. Growth is up, exports are up. But of course, with increased competition some companies are bound to be losers. That's part of capitalism. But the bif Picture is that free trade is good for all countries that engage in it. The science and the track record are solid. There is no questioning it. Unfortunately most people who do not umderstand economics think that there is a fixed amount of wealth to go around, and when some one gains, some one else loses. That's wrong. Nafta has been even greater for Mexico and Canada, but as the Mexicans and Canadians have benefitted from trade with the US, they have bought more American goods, which means all three countries are winners. The problem is that the media focuses more on the companies that go belly up than the companies that triple their sales, and so people that don't see the whole picture get the impression that free trade is bad. Either way, free trade bashing was clearly a winning strategy in these elections, and pretty much all candidates engaged in it, but Trump probably the most. Sad really. Protectionsim is like peeing in your boots to keep your feet warm in winter. It feels good for a while, but then you end up having to amputate them.

As a European I cannot understand why so many low income Americans are upset that they now get affordable health care. Sure, the system Obama introduced is not as good as what we have here or that you have in Canada, but Obama specifically chose to stay away from a single payer public Health version as he was hoping this hybrid version, which is more or less the same as what Mitt Romney introduced in Massachusettes, would help gain support across the aisle. Not sure that that worked out as well as he had hoped. Either way, some 30 million Americans that did not have health insurance now do, and to me that seems like a great leap toward finally becoming a civilised society. But obviously a lot of Americans would rather let big pharma, the hospitals and insurance companies continue to scam them.
Per, Obama's health care is not that affordable. I heard many workers talking between 2 and 3 hundred a month.
In regards to ours; I'm thankful we have it but the costs have risen too and it doesn't cover anywhere near what it used to. If you have an ingrown toe nail, a general practitioner has to refer you to a foot specialist and you pay the big bucks. That's just one example of many.

Everyone is so scared of Donald because he had no experience in politics. Now he does.
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Re: US Erection 12 *AND* 16

Post by Cornuck »

The Jet Woo Era is over.
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Re: US Erection 12 *AND* 16

Post by Topper »

Mondi wrote:Empirical evidence abounds as to how much better the United States is doing financially since Obama took over. Obama was not perfect, but he did a reasonable job under extremely trying circumstances. For example, an obstructionist Republican congress.

The ideas (1) that people don't like the way American going (under Obama) and (2) that Obama got elected because of his skin colour are as stupid as they are lazy.
Check the polling on the inner cities, down in 2016, black voter turnout, down in 2016. Obama had cranked up the black inner city turnout to sadly unsustainable levels. One look at the Black Lives Matter movement shows how miserably he failed those supporters. Check the exit poll questions, "its about the economy stupid". Data released a week before the election showed the majority of Americans are worse off now that eight years ago.

Obama cranked up the printing press to spend his way to an delusional promised land. He he printed money to buy up government debt. Remember quantitative easing.

He two major accomplishments, Obama Care and Immigration are the products of presidential fiat because he failed at passing them into law by democratic processes. he is facing several court actions because of his extended use and abuse of Presidential decree.
Mondi wrote:Trump's win is a product of the era of neo-liberal economic policy ushered in by Ronald Reagan. That is, tax cuts for corporations, free trade, and extreme capital mobility. If you allow and encourage a race to the bottom in terms of economic regulation in the third world (i.e. WTO, World Bank...etc.), and you then allow business to leave and set up shop in those shit counties (and pay those people shit wages), you hollow out the American middle and leave a tonne of disaffected people. Combine that with neo-con tax policies (i.e. low or no taxes) and you have a semi-functioning school-system and social safety net. The result is not pretty. Angry people, who are also stupid. This is happening here too, but it far worse in the USA.
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Re: US Erection 12 *AND* 16

Post by Topper »

A lot of truth in there, and using something as flippant as pop movies, some people may get it.
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Re: US Erection 12 *AND* 16

Post by Strangelove »

Mondi wrote: The ideas (1) that people don't like the way American going (under Obama) and (2) that Obama got elected because of his skin colour are as stupid as they are as stupid as they are lazy.
(1). Let me guess, you're going to stand on opinion polls after Tuesday's lesson on these kinds of polls.

(2). Classic Mondi strawman!

BTW it's not entirely crazy to believe Trump may want to leave a legacy re: "the little guy".

Some hope is better than none (Hillary).

You should read Corn's link.
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Re: US Erection 12 *AND* 16

Post by griz »

Nice one Corn.
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Re: US Erection 12 *AND* 16

Post by Per »

Topper wrote:
Reefer2 wrote:Will Trump be the President that promised the most but delivered the least. A lot of his promises will be hard to deliver on.
It will be a challenge to top the current President in that regard.
In Obama's defence, he had a hostile congress for six out of eight years.
Republicans now control both the executive and the legislative branches.

Then again, the party is deeply divided, so no guarantee they'll rubber stamp Trump's wildest ideas.
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