"Some"... like Bernie Sanders and Prince Charles?Per wrote: There are some that think that the current turmoil in Iraq/Syria at least in part is due to climate change.
Ahh you lefties and your alarmism!
Per, Per, Per... "Russian Apartment Bombings was an Inside Job"... and now this.Per wrote: They had several drought years in Syria before the protests against the Assad regime started. Without the drought, maybe there would have been less frustrated people taking to the streets? Without street protests - no brutal crackdown. Without the brutal crackdown - no civil war. Without the civil war - no opportunity for ISIS to expand their operations from inside Iraq.

Here:
C'mon Per!!http://www.forbes.com/sites/bjornlombor ... 6936de6a1e
First, blaming global warming for Syria’s purported increase in desertification means that we ignore Syria’s history of bad water management and the fact that the number of people living there tripled in 35 years – both of which would put a lot more pressure on resources than relatively small changes in the climate.
Second, it also means that we sidestep the human factor, not the least being the cascading effects of American and British foreign policy or the Arab spring uprisings, religious and ethnic tensions and political repression.
Another recent scientific paper has looked at “The role of drought and climate change in the Syrian uprising: Untangling the triggers of the revolution.”
The central finding is:
"While climate change may have contributed to worsening the effects of the drought, overstating its importance is an unhelpful distraction that diverts attention away from the core problem: the long-term mismanagement of natural resources. Furthermore, an exaggerated focus on climate change shifts the burden of responsibility for the devastation of Syria’s natural resources away from the successive Syrian governments since the 1950s and allows the Assad regime to blame external factors for its own failures."
It concludes:
“The possible role of climate change in this chain of events is not only irrelevant; it is also an unhelpful distraction.”
From the same link:Per wrote: With that in mind, it is quite possible that an increased desertification will lead to an increase in unrest and armed conflicts around the world.
That's what I worry about.
So try not to worry buds!Third, looking only at what happened means we ignore what didn’t happen. Since global warming will overall mean increased precipitation, the fact that some nations will experience more drought also means other nations won’t.
While almost all models show less water availability because of global warming in the Middle East, the extra number of water stressed people will be offset by almost exactly the same number fewer water stressed elsewhere (e.g. this recent article finds that larger populations will increase the number of water stressed globally by about 1.8 billion, but global warming will either increase or decrease that number by an order of magnitude less).
So while Syria will definitely become drier with global warming, Mauritania, Mali, Burkina Faso, Angola and parts of Brazil will become less water stressed. So if we worry about civil war being partly caused by global warming in Syria, we should also be thankful that global warming makes civil war less likely in these other countries.
Overall, there are many reasons to take climate change seriously. But alarmism is a terrible basis upon which to make informed policy choices. And trying to blame global warming for the recent horrors in Paris, or the ongoing carnage in Syria, simply takes us off track.
Having said that, how's that immigrant crisis going, you never talk about it.
I seem to recall warning you 5 years ago that Middle East problems would spill over into Europe...



