dbr wrote: Betamax wrote:
Let's see the new Canadian Television Deal comes into effect next season, teams with old arenas like the Oilers and NYI will be moving to high revenue generating new arenas within the next couple of years, and we will likely see an expansion of two teams within 5 years, IMO.
This year's cap increase comes after an artificially set cap number for two consecutive seasons, it does not reflect year over year growth and expecting future growth based on it would be foolhardy.
The Canadian TV deal comes into effect and then no new TV deal for 12 years.
duh, don't also forget regional deals have or will increase in value significantly than in the past.
Via my beloved hfboards:
http://hfboards.hockeysfuture.com/showt ... ?t=1613865
liveschedules wrote:Hi, guys.
I'm trying to put together a list of how much each NHL team earns from its local TV contract, or at least find out the league average. There have been previous attempts to do this here (link) and there (link), but the info on the old threads is somewhat dated now. As most of you know, the NHL recently signed vastly improved national rights deals in both Canada and the US. It stands to reason that the size of local TV agreements has gone up a bit too.
The best data I've found is from this Forbes article (link), published in Nov 2013. Unfortunately, it only shows the ten teams with the highest-value contracts*:
*Update: new contracts added.
1. Montreal Canadiens - $61m/year ($68m CAD) (RDS); runs through 2025-26; (new deal starts next season; up from $33/year)
2. Toronto Maple Leaves - $41m/year (Sportsnet, TSN, Leaves TV); through 2014-15.
3. New York Rangers - $35m (MSG Network)
4. Ottawa Senators - $30m ($33m CAD) (TSN/RDS); through 2025-26; (deal starts next season: up from $10/yr)
5. Detroit Red Wings - $30m (Fox Sports Detroit); through 2018-19 or 19-20 (not sure)
6. Vancouver Canucks - $25m (Sportsnet Pacific, Sportsnet One); through 22-23 season
7. New York Islanders - $24m (MSG Network); through 2030-31
8. New Jersey Devils - $24m (MSG Network); through 2024-25
9. Dallas Stars - $20m (Fox Sports Southwest); ends this season
10. Los Angeles Kings - $20m (Fox Sports West); through 23-24
11. Pittsburgh Penguins - $18m (Root Sports); through 28-29
The annual average for those teams is $29.8m USD* (updated since original post). However, I've had a hard time finding reliable numbers for the other nineteen. In news articles and press releases about contract signings and extensions, dollar amounts are often not mentioned. For example, the Coyotes announced the signing of a 12-year deal with Fox Sports Arizona last November, but were conspicuously mum on how much they were going to be paid.
We all know that the smallest teams in the NHL don't make much from local TV deals. However, it would be nice to know whether teams at the very bottom make only a little less than other teams in the bottom third, or are extreme outliers that depress the league average. If any of you happen to remember hearing or reading about your teams' local TV contract, please post here. (PS: This is my first post. Thanks for bearing with me so far.)
Expansion will lead to an overall increase in HRR but as the expansion fees are not included in that sum the two new franchises would have to immediately become above average revenue teams to drive up the cap number (HRR / # of contracts on the books - any expansion team increases both values).
Well, look at the cities they are looking to put a team in. Quebec City (Canadian team) with a brand new state of the art rink and Seattle. I don't think any expansion city will be below average performers especially with the buzz of having a new expansion franchise and the obligatory "honeymoon period" like we've seen with the return of hockey in Winnipeg.
And none of this touches the most important variable of all, the Canadian dollar: based on some Forbes figures and some quick scratch math, about 27% of league revenues (and 61% of its operating income) are from franchises in Canada. Devaluing the currency is seen as one of a small number of ways to stimulate economic growth and most are predicting its value in comparison to the USD to remain poor for quite some time.
I agree that is definitely an x-factor but interest in the the NHL game as at an all-time high in the United States, their biggest markets have had recent success, add those annual Winter Classic and Stadium Series Games and future World Cup of Hockey tournament ...... they are always finding ways to generate more HRR.