Blob Mckenzie wrote:They may push into the 8th spot but
tantalum wrote:Has ownership decided it's playoffs at all costs?
herb wrote:Apparently the Feaster regime has the same objective as the Sutter regime - make the playoffs at all costs. Frankly, I don't see either the Flames or Habs making the playoffs
Potatoe1 wrote:Flames will still be in tough to make the playoffs
Calgary has a 28.8% chance of making the playoffs according to SportsClubStats - though it drops to 16.2% if you weigh goal differential, which typically gives better results.. I don't think people realize 3 points out of a playoff spot' is actually significant when there's actually 4 teams you have to hurdle to get in.
To have a better than 2/3rds chance, the Flames need a run of roughly 21-12-4 - about 46 points in their last 37 games. That would take them to 93 points on the season, which is on the low side; last year the Dallas Stars sat the post-season out with 95 points..
It's doable, and a 21-12-4 record doesn't look all that scary, but to put it in perspective, that's a 0.621 points %... 8 teams in the NHL have a percentage better than that right now, so Calgary has to basically be in the same league as what the Bruins, Rangers, Flyers, Sharks, Canucks, Blues, Blackhawks, and Red Wings have done up until now. Basically, they have to be a top-8 team in the league.
Behind Calgary is Edmonton/Anaheim/Columbus, they won't catch up and are basically assured of finishing in various orders of 13-14-15.. Ahead of Calgary and likely fighting with them is Phoenix, Colorado, Dallas, Minnesota, Los Angeles. Two of those teams get in (three if Nashville drops out, but Nashville is quietly 9th in the NHL again).
Los Angeles, Phoenix, and Dallas all play a lot of games against each other, which means there's a lot of nights where its guaranteed one of those teams is taking home 2 points and possibly a 3rd to the other. Calgary has to win every time there's a game between those Pacific foes just to keep pace. Gaining 3 points on 4 different teams when you've played the most games of anyone won't be as easy as "3 points" sounds like. Like the numbers said, somewhere between 16%-29% likely.
Rokker wrote:Some talk out of the east that Cammalleri was not well liked by some of his Hab teammates and some viewed this move as 'addition by subtraction.'
Blob Mckenzie wrote:Brodie is going to be a decent player it looks like.
Derek Smith turns 28 this year.... if he's a young player Ryan Kesler is also still a pup. Full marks to Smith having the fortitude to slug it out and finally make it as a regular at that age but I don't think he's going to improve leaps and bounds.
BCExpat wrote:Feaster is slowly but surely rebuilding this team. Look at how many young guys he's put into the lineup this Season - Backlund, Brodie, Horak, Butler, Byron, Bouma, Jones, Comeau - are all new faces in the Flames line up. That is a lot of young guys to add in one year. Bartschi is the most talented prospect the Flames have, and he'll probably make the team next year. So, they are moving in the right direction.
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