The Fat Lady is warming Up!

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Re: The Fat Lady is warming Up!

Postby vic » Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:25 pm

Arachnid wrote:Can you do one for the Laughs as well?

You know, show little tuna that we are a nice friendly hockey message board and not bitter about anything :D

TIA



Different because they are so many more teams in the race, whereas in the West, there are pretty much 6 or 7 teams who have technically (but not mathematically) locked up a spot, but here you go:

Laughs
Current Points: 80
Available Points: 22
Max Points: 102

To Reach 103 / Max Possible

PHI: 24 / 26 (.923)
NYR: Max is 102 if they win out
TBL: 20 / 26 (.769)
MON: 20 / 24 (.833)
CBJ: Max is 102 if they win out
WAS: Max is 100 if they win out
DET: 28 / 28 (1.000)

Laughs are current playing at a .563 winning percentage for the year and are .500 in their last 10.

Let's say they play .636 the rest of the way through (14/22 points):

Points at EOY: 94

To Reach 95 / Max Possible

PHI: 16 / 26 (.615)
NYR: 17 / 24 (.708)
TBL: 12 / 26 (.461)
MON: 12 / 24 (.500)
CBJ: 19 / 26 (.730)
WAS: 19 / 24 (.791)
DET: 20 / 26 (.769)
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Re: The Fat Lady is warming Up!

Postby Arachnid » Thu Mar 20, 2014 4:31 pm

vic wrote:
Arachnid wrote:Can you do one for the Laughs as well?

You know, show little tuna that we are a nice friendly hockey message board and not bitter about anything :D

TIA



Different because they are so many more teams in the race, whereas in the West, there are pretty much 6 or 7 teams who have technically (but not mathematically) locked up a spot, but here you go:

Laughs
Current Points: 80
Available Points: 22
Max Points: 102

To Reach 103 / Max Possible

PHI: 24 / 26 (.923)
NYR: Max is 102 if they win out
TBL: 20 / 26 (.769)
MON: 20 / 24 (.833)
CBJ: Max is 102 if they win out
WAS: Max is 100 if they win out
DET: 28 / 28 (1.000)

Laughs are current playing at a .563 winning percentage for the year and are .500 in their last 10.

Let's say they play .636 the rest of the way through (14/22 points):

Points at EOY: 94

To Reach 95 / Max Possible

PHI: 16 / 26 (.615)
NYR: 17 / 24 (.708)
TBL: 12 / 26 (.461)
MON: 12 / 24 (.500)
CBJ: 19 / 26 (.730)
WAS: 19 / 24 (.791)
DET: 20 / 26 (.769)


Thanks Vic! You are a gentleman and a scholar and a valuable contributing member of this here hockey forum.

Now that's a fat lady I can get behind!
Socks are dead puppets :(
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Re: The Fat Lady is warming Up!

Postby vic » Fri Mar 21, 2014 7:03 pm

LA, MIN and PHO all pull further ahead, while DAL and WIN drop

Canucks:
Current: 74 points
Points Available: 20
Max Possible 94

Number of points required to reach 95 / Total points available

LA: 11 / 24 (.458)
MIN: 12 / 24 (.500)

PHO: 16 / 24 (.666)
DAL: 20 / 26 (.769)
WIN: 22 / 22 (1.000)



Arachnid, Laughs update will happen on Sunday night.
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Re: The Fat Lady is warming Up!

Postby Boston Canucker » Sat Mar 22, 2014 8:09 am

This is so predictable; basically out of it, but winning enough to keep meager, paper-thin hope alive and end up with the 12-14 pick in the draft instead of say 7-10. The only saving grace is it is giving kids like Jensen and Lack more playing time and confidence for the future...still, let's not get carried away boys, play hard and lose, that's ok.
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Re: The Fat Lady is warming Up!

Postby givemeda411 » Sat Mar 22, 2014 8:29 am

Boston Canucker wrote:This is so predictable; basically out of it, but winning enough to kgeep meager, paper-thin hope alive and end up with the 12-14 pick in the draft instead of say 7-10. The only saving grace is it is giving kids like Jensen and Lack more playing time and confidence for the future...still, let's not get carried away boys, play hard and lose, that's ok.


Looking at the schedule for Dallas, Phoenix, and Vancouver it might take less than 90 points to get in. I'm watching all three teams and it looks like it will go down to the wire.....when Dallas plays Phoenix. A Dallas win will allow Vancouver into the 8th spot, knowing our luck the game will go into OT and Phoenix will score sealing our fate. Missing the playoffs by one point or having the same amount of points as Phoenix but losing the tie-breaker.
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Re: The Fat Lady is warming Up!

Postby RoyalDude » Sat Mar 22, 2014 8:41 am

Yeah we pretty much have to go 10-0 over last 10 games with Phoenix up by 5 points with two games in hand and playing very good hockey at the moment. Looks like 10-0 won't even be good enough

Can't wait til we pick 14th in the draft.
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Re: The Fat Lady is warming Up!

Postby nuckster » Sat Mar 22, 2014 9:42 am

Boston Canucker wrote:This is so predictable; basically out of it, but winning enough to keep meager, paper-thin hope alive and end up with the 12-14 pick in the draft instead of say 7-10. The only saving grace is it is giving kids like Jensen and Lack more playing time and confidence for the future...still, let's not get carried away boys, play hard and lose, that's ok.


It's so... amusing on here at times. A day or two ago, I more or less said the same thing as you said here, and I was 'swarmed' an basically accused of talking heresy by the Nuck Zealots. In all fairness though, the fact that I was suggesting that the team should deliberately tank, goes against everything that people/athletes are conditioned for in the sports world. Still, we have the opportunity to cheer a little in appreciation that with each loss between now and season's end, we incrementally move towards a better draft pick on draft day. Truthfully, given how things have gone this season, draft day may turn out to be the highlight of '13-'14 as far as the Canucks are concerned (hopefully we don't fuck that up too an pull a frikin Nonis-like pick, i.e., Patrick White).
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Re: The Fat Lady is warming Up!

Postby Arachnid » Sat Mar 22, 2014 10:29 am

RoyalDude wrote:Yeah we pretty much have to go 10-0 over last 10 games with Phoenix up by 5 points with two games in hand and playing very good hockey at the moment. Looks like 10-0 won't even be good enough

Can't wait til we pick 14th in the draft.


Hold on lads...there's still hope...

20
VANCOUVER P 72 32 30 10 74 27 172 194 -22 17-11-6 15-19-4 5-7 4-6-0 WON 1
21
NEW JERSEY M 70 30 27 13 73 30 172 183 -11 17-9-7 13-18-6 0-8 5-5-0 WON 1
22
WINNIPEG C 71 32 30 9 73 26 199 208 -9 17-14-6 15-16-3 6-6 3-4-3 WON 1
23
NASHVILLE C 71 30 31 10 70 29 171 213 -42 15-17-4 15-14-6 1-7 4-6-0 WON 1
24
OTTAWA A 69 28 28 13 69 25 198 234 -36 13-15-6 15-13-7 3-6 2-6- LOST 3
25
CAROLINA M 70 30 31 9 69 29 174 198 -24 17-14-5 13-17-4 1-3 4-6-0 LOST 1

We can still get Carolina's 6th spot.
Yes we are inapplicably winning right now and the wrong teams are losing but they do have some games in hand on us.

If we count those as wins then we are in 23 spot and 7th pick so we will be in top 10 regardless..

Have some faith ffs :evil:

Anyone want to bet?!

:look:
Socks are dead puppets :(
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Re: The Fat Lady is warming Up!

Postby Tiger » Sat Mar 22, 2014 11:46 am

Hmm , I thought I heard the Fat Lady warming up the day MG signed the Sedins for 4 more years. Seems as soon as the ink was dry they started playing a "union" game..
For the record I was against the early signing .. I doubt MG would offer them 7 mill today..
I will also be cheering for them to win every game left in the schedule and hoping they make the playoffs.. If that doesn't happen I will cheer when Aqualini drives MG to the airport :)
" If you cant beat them in the alley - you can't beat them on the ice
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Re: The Fat Lady is warming Up!

Postby vic » Mon Mar 24, 2014 10:01 am

LA and DAL pull further ahead (LA is a pipe dream, DAL pulls ahead ever so slightly)
PHO falls, MIN and WIN stay idle.

Canucks:
Current: 76 points
Points Available: 18
Max Possible 94

Number of points required to reach 95 / Total points available

LA: 9 / 22 (.409)

Canucks need to finish ahead of 3 of these teams to make the post season
MIN: 10 / 20 (.500)
PHO: 16 / 22 (.727)
DAL: 18 / 24 (.750)
WIN: 22 / 22 (1.000)


Laughs:
Current: 80
Points Available: 18
Max Possible: 98

To Reach 99
PHI: 16 / 26 (.923)
NYR: 17 / 20 (.850)
TBL: 13 / 26 (.769)
MON: 14 / 24 (.833)
CBJ: 21 / 22 (.954)
WAS: 20 / 20 (1.000)
DET: 28 / 28 (1.000)

Laughs are current playing at a .547 winning percentage for the year and are .400 in their last 10.

Let's say they play .611 the rest of the way through (11/18 points):

Points at EOY: 91

To Reach 92 / Max Possible

PHI: 12 / 26 (.461)
NYR: 13 / 24 (.541)
TBL: 8 / 26 (.307)
MON: 8 / 24 (.333)
CBJ: 15 / 26 (.580)
WAS: 15 / 24 (.625)
DET: 16 / 26 (.615)
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Re: The Fat Lady is warming Up!

Postby givemeda411 » Mon Mar 24, 2014 7:23 pm

Mike Smith with injured leg, left the game. Looked like he was in a lot of pain. Hopefully this hinders Phoenix.
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Re: The Fat Lady is warming Up!

Postby vic » Tue Mar 25, 2014 2:04 pm

Remaining Schedules

Phoenix:
HOME: MIN, WIN, EDM, SJ, DAL
AWAY: PIT, NJ, LA, CBJ, NAS

Dallas:
HOME: NAS, NAS, CBJ, STL
AWAY: CHI, STL, WAS, CAR, TB, FLA, PHO

Vancouver:
HOME: ANA, NYR, LA, ANA, COL, CAL
AWAY: MIN, COL, EDM
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Re: The Fat Lady is warming Up!

Postby vic » Wed Mar 26, 2014 8:49 am

Canucks:
Current: 76 points
Points Available: 18
Max Possible 94

Number of points required to reach 95 / Total points available

LA: 5 / 18 (.277)

Canucks need to finish ahead of 3 of these teams to make the post season
MIN: 10 / 20 (.500)
PHO: 13 / 18 (.722)
DAL: 16 / 20 (.800)
WIN: Maxmium they can reach is 91 if they win out

If the Canucks play .778 the rest of the way (14/18 points):
Max Possible: 90

To Reach 91
MIN: 5/20 (.250)
PHO: 9/18 (.500)
DAL: 12/20 (.600)
WIN: 18/18 (1.000)

Remaining Schedule:

Phoenix:
HOME: MIN, WIN, EDM, SJ, DAL
AWAY: NJ, LA, CBJ, NAS

Dallas:
HOME: NAS, NAS, CBJ, STL
AWAY: CHI, STL, WAS, CAR, TB, FLA, PHO

Vancouver:
HOME: ANA, NYR, LA, ANA, COL, CAL
AWAY: MIN, COL, EDM

---------------------------------------------------------------------

Laughs:
Current: 80
Points Available: 16
Max Possible: 96

To Reach 97
PHI: 14 / 22 (.636)
NYR: 13 / 18 (.722)
TBL: 10 / 20 (.500)
MON: 8 / 16 (.500)
CBJ: 17 / 20 (.850)
WAS: 17 / 18 (.944)
DET: 17 / 20 (.850)

Let's say they play .750 the rest of the way through (13/16 points):

Points at EOY: 93

To Reach 94 / Max Possible

To Reach 97
PHI: 11 / 22 (.500)
NYR: 10 / 18 (.556)
TBL: 7 / 20 (.350)
MON: 5 / 16 (.313)
CBJ: 14 / 20 (.700)
WAS: 14 / 18 (.778)
DET: 14 / 20 (.700)
Last edited by vic on Wed Mar 26, 2014 9:21 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The Fat Lady is warming Up!

Postby Arachnid » Wed Mar 26, 2014 9:02 am

vic wrote:Canucks:
Current: 76 points
Points Available: 18
Max Possible 94

Number of points required to reach 95 / Total points available

LA: 5 / 18 (.277)

Canucks need to finish ahead of 3 of these teams to make the post season
MIN: 10 / 20 (.500)
PHO: 13 / 18 (.722)
DAL: 16 / 20 (.800)
WIN: Maxmium they can reach is 91 if they win out

If the Canucks play .778 the rest of the way (14/18 points):
Max Possible: 90

To Reach 91
MIN: 5/20 (.250)
PHO: 9/18 (.500)
DAL: 12/20 (.600)
WIN: 18/18 (1.000)

Remaining Schedule:

Phoenix:
HOME: MIN, WIN, EDM, SJ, DAL
AWAY: NJ, LA, CBJ, NAS

Dallas:
HOME: NAS, NAS, CBJ, STL
AWAY: CHI, STL, WAS, CAR, TB, FLA, PHO

Vancouver:
HOME: ANA, NYR, LA, ANA, COL, CAL
AWAY: MIN, COL, EDM

---------------------------------------------------------------------

Laughs:
Current: 80
Points Available: 16
Max Possible: 96

To Reach 97
PHI: 14 / 22 (.636)
NYR: 13 / 18 (.722)
TBL: 10 / 20 (.500)
MON: 8 / 16 (.500)
CBJ: 17 / 20 (.850)
WAS: 17 / 18 (.944)
DET: 17 / 20 (.850)

Let's say they play .750 the rest of the way through (13/16 points):

Points at EOY: 93

To Reach 94 / Max Possible

To Reach 97
PHI: 11 / 22 (.500)
NYR: 10 / 18 (.556)
TBL: 7 / 20 (.350)
MON: 5 / 16 (.313)
CBJ: 14 / 20 (.700)
WAS: 14 / 18 (.778)
DET: 14 / 20 (.700)


Thanks Vic! Beers in the mail :P

Man, it would be hilarious if we squeak in and the Make Beleafs don't make it.

I gotta do that bet...

*goes out into street looking for some chump*
Socks are dead puppets :(
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Re: The Fat Lady is warming Up!

Postby Meds » Wed Mar 26, 2014 9:51 am

vic wrote:Remaining Schedules

Phoenix:
HOME: MIN, WIN, EDM, SJ, DAL
AWAY: PIT, NJ, LA, CBJ, NAS


3 tests and a challenge against Dallas who will certainly be up for that one as they are fighting for 8th with the Yotes. 4 tough games in their remaining 10.

Dallas:
HOME: NAS, NAS, CBJ, STL
AWAY: CHI, STL, WAS, CAR, TB, FLA, PHO


5 tough games in their remaining 10.

Vancouver:
HOME: ANA, NYR, LA, ANA, COL, CAL
AWAY: MIN, COL, EDM



3 games against California teams. Not good. The Wild and Oilers always play us tough and AV would probably like nothing better than to play spoiler for his old team.

I really can't see this team making it into final spot. No last ditch miracles this time around.
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