petes2424/hf had this interesting look at the draft.
It's probably a crap shoot after the first three. There's actually two teams I'm familiar with talking about the way they structure drafts. San Jose and Detroit. It's similar with every team though. Generally they come up with a pretty consistent top ten. After that they really start adding parameters to picks. Like how certain players fit their system, etc. As an example, Detroit would've had a Tinordi probably rated considerably lower than Philadelphia. Just as Holland discussed his choosing Bertuzzi last year when the pundits all scratched their heads. On the flip side, they probably had Riley Sheahan rated well above other teams.
This being the case, coupled with a weaker draft, you're going to see some surprises this year. Two players for example who are in most mocks somewhere between 20-30, could very well go 8-12. Goldobin and Scherbak. Especially with such a weak crop of D. People also shouldn't be surprised if Draisatl drops out of the top ten. With him, something as simple as his body fat percentage. If it's high, with his skating problems, teams might shy away, forming commitment arguments.
There's also now a built in "Russian Factor" within the scouting reports. I'd argue it's actually justified, although I was screaming for the Oilers to grab Nichushkin if he fell to 7 last year. Dallas is going to enjoy the factor for many years to come. They'll also be less inclined now to take that into consideration. Your rebuilds go a lot smoother when you land a player of that caliber at 10 and this year they won't pass on a Scherbak if he's still on the board. Just as Detroit will probably trade down a few picks, pick up a second round pick and take Goldobin even though they probably have him rated top 10.
It would be far more informative if these pundits would actually take the team and their drafting strategies into account instead of simple needs and player style. Although I'm convinced certain teams literally draft of off the central scouting reports. Just look at teams that rarely hit on a player after the first round. The Oilers definitely fit that argument.
It'll be fun here the next month trying to figure it all out.
Almost makes me think we could land Draisaitl.